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04 — Market research and simulated trades

AI Trading

Purpose

We explore how AI can help us read market data and test trading ideas. We use historical backtests and paper trading to see how strategies behave before considering live execution.

Market Event Calendar

Selected U.S. releases in Tashkent time (UTC+5).

  1. GDP

    U.S. GDP

    Q3 2026 · Second estimate

    Check what changed from the previous estimate and which components contributed to the revision.

    BEA schedule
  2. PCE

    PCE inflation

    October 2026

    Look at headline and core PCE inflation alongside changes in household spending and income.

    BEA schedule
  3. NFP

    U.S. jobs report (NFP)

    November 2026

    Check payroll growth, unemployment, wage growth, and revisions to prior months.

    BLS schedule
  4. FOMC

    Fed rate decision

    December 2026 meeting

    Read the rate decision alongside the statement and economic projections. The press conference follows separately.

    Federal Reserve schedule
  5. CPI

    Consumer Price Index

    November 2026

    Compare headline and core inflation, and check which categories drove the monthly change.

    BLS schedule
  6. GDP

    U.S. GDP

    Q3 2026 · Third estimate

    Check what changed from the previous estimate and which components contributed to the revision.

    BEA schedule
  7. PCE

    PCE inflation

    November 2026

    Look at headline and core PCE inflation alongside changes in household spending and income.

    BEA schedule

Dates last checked November 14, 2026. Schedules can change. Check the BLS, Federal Reserve, or BEA for updates.

Experiment ideas

Planned explorations, not finished work

  1. Market analysisIdea 01

    Market brief

    Summarize changes in price, volume, and volatility for a watchlist, with source links and timestamps for each observation.

  2. BacktestingIdea 02

    Strategy replay

    Run a rules-based strategy against historical prices and compare results across time periods, accounting for simulated costs.

  3. Paper tradingIdea 03

    Simulated execution

    Have an AI-assisted workflow propose trades and log simulated orders, fills, and outcomes against predefined limits.

  4. Risk reviewIdea 04

    Trade journal

    Record the reasoning behind each simulated trade and review where the strategy exceeded its limits or relied on incomplete data.